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Truth MachineThe Contentious History of DNA Fingerprinting$
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Michael Lynch, Simon A. Cole, and Ruth McNally

Print publication date: 2009

Print ISBN-13: 9780226498065

Published to Chicago Scholarship Online: March 2013

DOI: 10.7208/chicago/9780226498089.001.0001

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PRINTED FROM CHICAGO SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (www.chicago.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) Copyright University of Chicago Press, 2021. All Rights Reserved. An individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in CHSO for personal use.date: 17 September 2021

Bayesians, Frequentists, and the Dna Database Search Controversy

Bayesians, Frequentists, and the Dna Database Search Controversy

(p.183) Interlude D Bayesians, Frequentists, and the Dna Database Search Controversy
Truth Machine
University of Chicago Press

This chapter, which discusses the controversy among statisticians in the United States over the analysis of DNA database “cold hits,” considers the defense use of Bayesian analysis to unpack and neutralize the impressive random match probabilities presented by the prosecution's experts. It suggests that Bayesian treatments can potentially open up a creative repackaging of evidence that disrupts settled legal and vernacular distinctions between expert and commonsense knowledge.

Keywords:   DNA database, cold hits, United States, Bayesian analysis, random match probabilities, expert knowledge

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