The Ratchet Effect: An Overlooked Social Cost
The Ratchet Effect: An Overlooked Social Cost
This chapter explains how the use of actuarial methods will have a distortive effect on the targeted population that will operate as a ratchet over time. The distortion occurs when profiling produces a supervised population that is disproportionate to the distribution of offending by racial group. The ratchet effect is discussed in the policing context, in the sentencing context, and in terms of social costs.
Keywords: actuarial methods, criminal profiling, targeted population, distortion, criminal supervision, racial group, policing, social costs, sentencing
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