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Worst CasesTerror and Catastrophe in the Popular Imagination$
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Lee Clarke

Print publication date: 2005

Print ISBN-13: 9780226108599

Published to Chicago Scholarship Online: February 2013

DOI: 10.7208/chicago/9780226108605.001.0001

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The Skycould be Falling: Globally Relevant Disasters and the Perils of Probabilism

The Skycould be Falling: Globally Relevant Disasters and the Perils of Probabilism

Chapter:
(p.25) 2 The Skycould be Falling: Globally Relevant Disasters and the Perils of Probabilism
Source:
Worst Cases
Author(s):

Lee Clarke

Publisher:
University of Chicago Press
DOI:10.7208/chicago/9780226108605.003.0002

This chapter examines globally relevant disasters and explores the perils of probabilism. It discusses the role of concentration and interdependence in the way people create conditions for disasters and suggests that the way modern society is organized creates the potential for more and more serious, worst cases. This chapter comments on the arguments of the anti-cassandras which rest on the idea of probabilism. It suggests that while we do need probabilistic thinking, we should not concentrate so much on probabilities that we forget the possibilities.

Keywords:   globally relevant disasters, probabilism, interdependence, modern society, anti-cassandras, probabilistic thinking, possibilities

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