Transition Scenarios: China and the United States in the Twenty-First Century
David P. Rapkin and William R. Thompson
Abstract
There is considerable speculation that the twenty-first century will witness a systemic leadership transition in which the United States, the incumbent system leader, is passed by China. The probability and timing of such a momentous event remains unclear. So, too, are the causal processes which might bring it about. Despite the occurrence of previous systemic transitions, commentators tend to treat the possible ascendance of China to predominance as a novelty. A different approach relies heavily on international relations theory and applies a forward reasoning approach to constructing a range ... More
Keywords: Systemic leadership, Transition, Forward reasoning, Scenarios
Bibliographic Information
| Print publication date: 2013 | Print ISBN-13: 9780226040332 |
| Published to Chicago Scholarship Online: January 2014 | DOI:10.7208/chicago/9780226040509.001.0001 |
