Jump to ContentJump to Main Navigation
Aging Issues in the United States and Japan$
Users without a subscription are not able to see the full content.

Seiritsu Ogura, Toshiaki Tachibanaki, and David A. Wise

Print publication date: 2001

Print ISBN-13: 9780226620817

Published to Chicago Scholarship Online: February 2013

DOI: 10.7208/chicago/9780226620831.001.0001

Show Summary Details
Page of

PRINTED FROM CHICAGO SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (www.chicago.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) Copyright University of Chicago Press, 2018. All Rights Reserved. Under the terms of the licence agreement, an individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in CHSO for personal use (for details see www.chicago.universitypressscholarship.com/page/privacy-policy).date: 18 November 2018

The Effects of Demographic Change on Health and Medical Expenditures

The Effects of Demographic Change on Health and Medical Expenditures

A Simulation Analysis

Chapter:
(p.223) 7 The Effects of Demographic Change on Health and Medical Expenditures
Source:
Aging Issues in the United States and Japan
Author(s):

Satoshi Nakanishi

Noriyoshi Nakayama

Publisher:
University of Chicago Press
DOI:10.7208/chicago/9780226620831.003.0008

This chapter analyzes the impact of the aging Japanese population on the health sector and on the economy as a whole. It focuses on (a) the effect of population aging on future medical care costs; (b) the effect of cost containment strategies on medical care expenditures; and (c) the extent to which licensing systems can or should be used to control the flow of new entrants into the medical profession. A simulation shows that maintaining the present system of payment for health care as the population ages will result in medical care expenditures growing at an average annual rate of 4.3 percent between 1991 and 2040. The share of medical expenditure in GDP will reach 10.8 percent in 2015, before gradually starting to decline. Moreover, even though people invest in their futures rather than their present medical care, their health status in the twenty-first century will be lower because of population aging. Controlling medical expenditures through cost containment will require the Japanese people to accept both major increases in the rate of self-payment for medical care and a decline in national health status.

Keywords:   aging population, Japanese, health care costs, medical care costs, licensing systems, self-payment, health status

Chicago Scholarship Online requires a subscription or purchase to access the full text of books within the service. Public users can however freely search the site and view the abstracts and keywords for each book and chapter.

Please, subscribe or login to access full text content.

If you think you should have access to this title, please contact your librarian.

To troubleshoot, please check our FAQs, and if you can't find the answer there, please contact us.