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Birth QuakeThe Baby Boom and Its Aftershocks$
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Diane J. Macunovich

Print publication date: 2002

Print ISBN-13: 9780226500836

Published to Chicago Scholarship Online: February 2013

DOI: 10.7208/chicago/9780226500928.001.0001

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Population-Induced Economic Slumps

Population-Induced Economic Slumps

Chapter:
(p.220) 14 Population-Induced Economic Slumps
Source:
Birth Quake
Author(s):

Diane J. Macunovich

Publisher:
University of Chicago Press
DOI:10.7208/chicago/9780226500928.003.0015

This chapter presents some of the preliminary findings on overall economic performance across all nations (the incidence of recessions and depressions). The unforeseen changes in population age structure have the potential for triggering catastrophic economic turmoil—and virtually always appear to cause at least a degree of economic dislocation. There have been pronounced fluctuations in the proportion of the population aged 15–24 across all nations during the twentieth century, which seem to coincide with major fluctuations in economic activity. The United States has experienced only one episode of declining relative cohort size that seemed to translate almost immediately into increases in fertility. It seems likely that the effects of wartime expenditures will prevent from unraveling the true effects of changing cohort size.

Keywords:   economic performance, recessions, depressions, population age structure, economic dislocation, United States, relative cohort size, fertility

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