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Globalization and Poverty$
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Ann Harrison

Print publication date: 2007

Print ISBN-13: 9780226317946

Published to Chicago Scholarship Online: February 2013

DOI: 10.7208/chicago/9780226318004.001.0001

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Risk and the Evolution of Inequality in China in an Era of Globalization

Risk and the Evolution of Inequality in China in an Era of Globalization

(p.599) 14 Risk and the Evolution of Inequality in China in an Era of Globalization
Globalization and Poverty

Ethan Ligon

University of Chicago Press

This chapter discusses the consequence of globalization on household welfare in China. It also uses evidence on changes in the cross-sectional distribution of consumption to draw inferences about the welfare of households. The estimated model predicts that inequality will continue to increase in China through 2025, but at a relatively slow rate. The risk borne by households depends much more on households' resources than it does on the year—even though there are enormous changes in China's aggregate economy over this period, idiosyncratic risk is much more important than any aggregate shock in determining household welfare and in determining the evolution of inequality over time. The estimates of the law of motion governing the Lorenz curves for urban China permit the predictions about future consumption inequality.

Keywords:   globalization, household welfare, China, estimated model, economy, consumption inequality, Lorenz curves

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