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Masters of Uncertainty
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Masters of Uncertainty: Weather Forecasters and the Quest for Ground Truth

Phaedra Daipha

Abstract

This book draws on a two-year ethnography of forecasting operations at the National Weather Service (NWS) to theorize decision-making in action. Contrary to popular wisdom, weather forecasters are considerably better than most other so-called expert decision-makers at mastering uncertainty. Following them in their quest for ground truth, therefore, promises to hold the key to the analytically elusive process of diagnosis and prognosis as it actually happens. That is the ultimate objective of this book—by systematically excavating how weather forecasters achieve a provisional coherence in the f ... More

Keywords: meteorology, national weather service, decision-making, uncertainty management, science and technology studies, sociology of knowledge, pragmatist sociology, organization studies, cultural sociology

Bibliographic Information

Print publication date: 2015 Print ISBN-13: 9780226298542
Published to Chicago Scholarship Online: May 2016 DOI:10.7208/chicago/9780226298719.001.0001

Authors

Affiliations are at time of print publication.

Phaedra Daipha, author
Rutgers University