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The Wartime PresidentExecutive Influence and the Nationalizing Politics of Threat$
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William G. Howell, Saul P. Jackman, and Jon C. Rogowski

Print publication date: 2013

Print ISBN-13: 9780226048253

Published to Chicago Scholarship Online: January 2014

DOI: 10.7208/chicago/9780226048420.001.0001

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The Model's Predictions about Modern U.S. Wars

The Model's Predictions about Modern U.S. Wars

Chapter:
(p.63) Chapter 3 The Model's Predictions about Modern U.S. Wars
Source:
The Wartime President
Author(s):

William G. Howell

Saul P. Jackman

Jon C. Rogowski

Publisher:
University of Chicago Press
DOI:10.7208/chicago/9780226048420.003.0003

This chapter relates the Policy Priority Model to modern U.S. wars. Focusing on the key parameter of interest—namely, the relative importance assigned to national vis-à-vis local political outcomes—this chapter explains why World War II and the post-September 11 wars should substantially augment the president’s influence, whereas the Korean War, the Vietnam War, and the Persian Gulf War should generate more modest effects. The chapter then identifies critical tests that distinguish the predictions of the Policy Priority Model from other plausible explanations for a president’s wartime influence at home.

Keywords:   hypothesis derivation, critical tests, EITM

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