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Transition ScenariosChina and the United States in the Twenty-First Century$
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David P. Rapkin and William R. Thompson

Print publication date: 2013

Print ISBN-13: 9780226040332

Published to Chicago Scholarship Online: January 2014

DOI: 10.7208/chicago/9780226040509.001.0001

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Strong Conflict Constraints and Strong Conflict Inducements: The “Pax Sinica” Scenario

Strong Conflict Constraints and Strong Conflict Inducements: The “Pax Sinica” Scenario

Chapter:
(p.182) Chapter Nine Strong Conflict Constraints and Strong Conflict Inducements: The “Pax Sinica” Scenario
Source:
Transition Scenarios
Author(s):

David P. Rapkin

William R. Thompson

Publisher:
University of Chicago Press
DOI:10.7208/chicago/9780226040509.003.0009

A Chinese victory in a transition war would probably lead to a Sino-centric world. But such an outcome might also come about in the absence of war. The “Pax Sinica” scenario is predicated on the rapid ascendance of China and continued U.S. relative decline. Chinese predominance is achieved quickly in a number of spheres.

Keywords:   ascendance, relative decline, predominance, economic interdependence, nuclear deterrence

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