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Transition ScenariosChina and the United States in the Twenty-First Century$
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David P. Rapkin and William R. Thompson

Print publication date: 2013

Print ISBN-13: 9780226040332

Published to Chicago Scholarship Online: January 2014

DOI: 10.7208/chicago/9780226040509.001.0001

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Weak Conflict Constraints and Weak Conflict Inducements: The “More of the Same” and “Pax Americana II” Scenarios

Weak Conflict Constraints and Weak Conflict Inducements: The “More of the Same” and “Pax Americana II” Scenarios

Chapter:
(p.149) Chapter Seven Weak Conflict Constraints and Weak Conflict Inducements: The “More of the Same” and “Pax Americana II” Scenarios
Source:
Transition Scenarios
Author(s):

David P. Rapkin

William R. Thompson

Publisher:
University of Chicago Press
DOI:10.7208/chicago/9780226040509.003.0007

Scenarios in chapters 7-10 focus on specific matrix cells created by a 2 x2 table of the factors facilitating or constraining conflict. Facilitators and constraints are considered to be either strongly or weakly present. In this chapter, the combination of weak facilitators and constraints yield two possible scenarios. Things stay pretty much the way they are today in one story-line (“More of the Same”). The other reverses U.S. relative economic decline via a resurgence in the innovation of radically new technology (Pax Americana II).

Keywords:   conflict inducements, conflict constraints, relative decline, technological innovation

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